Peter Kellner
20 October 2026
The Brexit majority has gone for ever – rejoin now has a majority of 9 million
The polls are clear – an overwhelming number of voters want to rejoin the EU. Millions of Brexit voters have died and the young want to get back in
Read the full article13 October 2026
Reform and the Greens are fading – the real fight is Tory v Labour
The two insurgent parties peaked last December and since then it’s been all downhill. It looks like we are returning to the old days of Conservatives v Labour
Read the full article05 October 2026
Burnham’s big idea could crush the Labour party
The PM has said he wants to change the way the country votes. But has he done the sums on what this would mean for his own party?
Read the full article29 September 2026
Sorry Nigel, but the polls show you’ve had it
The numbers now show Reform are on the slide and the party is going to get stuffed by tactical voting
Read the full article21 September 2026
America prepares to vote. Only problem is nobody likes anybody any more
Trump’s approval ratings are now a disaster. But that doesn’t mean American voters are flocking to his opponents.
Read the full article14 September 2026
Farage’s £72m of crypto donations could swing the general election
So many parties have similar vote shares, even a tiny swing could give Reform an outright majority. The deluge of crypto money into Reform’s coffers could tip the balance
Read the full article07 September 2026
History says Polanski is going to win the St Pancras by-election
If Burnham manages to hold the seat, it will be a colossal victory for the new PM – but it doesn’t look likely
Read the full article08 July 2026
Farage is in trouble – polls show voters think he’s a danger to Britain
The Reform leader is seen as incompetent, untrustworthy and not on the voters’ side
Read the full article27 March 2026
Polls: Americans hate Trump, his war and what he’s doing to the US
For Trump to stand a chance at the mid-terms, he needs to win over independents. But they hate him – and their dislike is only growing
Read the full article13 March 2026
It’s official: Reform has slumped in the polls
Prime minister Farage? The danger has receded… for the moment.
Read the full article20 February 2026
Trump is set to lose the mid-terms – but what if he cheats?
If the president thinks he’s about to lose control of Congress, there’s a range of tricks he could use to steal the election. It will take a nation of millions to stop him
Read the full article27 January 2026
The polls have spoken: middle America now hates Trump
They dislike his character, his policies and what he’s doing to America. But there’s one subject on which Democrats and Republicans agree more than any other – and it’s bad news for the president
Read the full article08 December 2025
An anti-Brexit majority of eight million
The British electorate are now overwhelmingly pro-remain. And yet the europhobes still argue the votes of the dead count for more than the views of the young
Read the full article18 October 2025
Reform’s poll lead will shrink
Farage is flying high, but the party in the lead always loses ground as the election approaches – even a small slip in his numbers could have severe consequences
Read the full article01 August 2025
Labour and the Tories are in even greater danger than they think
New polling suggests that UK voters might have finally had enough of the two main parties
Read the full article25 June 2025
Starmer, here’s three ways to beat Reform
As Keir Starmer watches the gradual increase of support for the Reform party, there is one mistake the PM must avoid
Read the full article02 May 2025
Both Labour and the Tories should be terrified
Yesterday’s vote shows that the Reform party has now passed a crucial tipping point
Read the full article25 February 2025
Americans already hate their president
The braggart in the White House claims to have record high approval ratings – but polls show he actually has the worst among modern American presidents
Read the full article17 February 2025
The great Brexit leap forward
Undoing the damage done by leaving the EU is like crossing a fast-flowing stream. It must be done in one jump
Read the full article25 January 2025
What does Britain really think about immigration?
The views of most Conservatives are not what you might think
Read the full article16 January 2024
Sunak is in Farage’s pocket
As a poll shows Conservative voters prefer Nigel Farage to Rishi Sunak, the PM’s only hope looks like being a split within Reform UK
Read the full article03 January 2024
Decoding Britain’s pre-election polls
The countdown has begun to a UK general election. One of Britain’s leading political number-crunchers tells you how to read the data
Read the full article27 September 2023
Rishi Sunak, our ‘nothing’ prime minister
No one knows what Rishi Sunak stands for, and few voters trust him and his party to change
Read the full article21 June 2023
Anti-Brexit Britain has reached the point of return
How has the UK evolved over seven years to become a country that again favours being in the EU? And when can we hope to rejoin?
Read the full article24 November 2022
Hands up who still believes in Brexit?
Many of those who backed leaving the EU now admit that it has damaged Britain. Are we near a tipping point?
Read the full article12 October 2022
The numbers have spoken. Labour: nice and smart – the Tories? Mean and dim
Starmer has a huge lead, but what exactly are the polls telling us?
Read the full article15 September 2022
The Green King
Polls show the young don’t fully trust Charles. What better way to solve it than by restating his environmental agenda in deed, not word?
Read the full article01 September 2022
No, of course Boris Johnson didn’t get Brexit done
An exclusive poll shows that 60% of voters – including 46% of Leave voters – think Boris Johnson has failed on Brexit
Read the full article16 June 2022
Here’s what Labour should say on Brexit and immigration
To win the general election, Keir Starmer must win over two distinct sets of voters - and silence on the big issues is no longer an option
Read the full article28 April 2022
Partygate PM is braced for a little local difficulty
Talk of a Tory wipeout in May 5’s elections is merely a game of low expectations – but they could still prove fatal to Boris Johnson
Read the full article09 December 2021
Labour has a new hope – their mission is possible
Bolstered by Tory scandals and a new shadow cabinet, Keir Starmer should heed a newly published account of one of his party’s darkest hours, which turns the Red Wall narrative on its head.
Read the full article07 October 2021
Will the tide ever turn against Boris Johnson?
Despite the chaos of the fuel crisis and other pandemic- and Brexit-induced problems, Boris Johnson’s ‘competency ratings’ are still holding up, while Keir Starmer is not making huge inroads. Will the dial ever shift?
Read the full article